1 Significance Tests for Binomial Experiments : 2 Ordering the Sample Space by Bayes Factors and 3 Using Adaptive Significance Levels for Decisions . 4

نویسندگان

  • Carlos A. de B. Pereira
  • Adriano Polpo
  • Eduardo Y. Nakano
چکیده

The main objective of this paper is to find a close link between the adaptive level of 12 significance, presented here, and the sample size. We, statisticians, know of the inconsistency, or 13 paradox, in the current classical tests of significance that are based on p-value statistics that is 14 compared to the canonical significance levels (10%, 5% and 1%): "Raise the sample to reject the null 15 hypothesis" is the recommendation of some ill-advised scientists! This paper will show that it is 16 possible to eliminate this problem of significance tests. The Bayesian Lindley's paradox – "increase 17 the sample to accept the hypothesis" – also disappears. Obviously, we present here only the 18 beginning of a possible prominent research. The intention is to extend its use to more complex 19 applications such as survival analysis, reliability tests and other areas. The main tools used here are 20 the Bayes Factor and the extended Neyman-Pearson Lemma. 21

برای دانلود رایگان متن کامل این مقاله و بیش از 32 میلیون مقاله دیگر ابتدا ثبت نام کنید

ثبت نام

اگر عضو سایت هستید لطفا وارد حساب کاربری خود شوید

منابع مشابه

Hypothesis Tests for Bernoulli Experiments: Ordering the Sample Space by Bayes Factors and Using Adaptive Significance Levels for Decisions

The main objective of this paper is to find the relation between the adaptive significance level presented here and the sample size. We statisticians know of the inconsistency, or paradox, in the current classical tests of significance that are based on p-value statistics that are compared to the canonical significance levels (10%, 5%, and 1%): “Raise the sample to reject the null hypothesis” i...

متن کامل

An unconditional exact test for the Hardy-Weinberg equilibrium law: sample-space ordering using the Bayes factor.

Much forensic inference based upon DNA evidence is made assuming that the Hardy-Weinberg equilibrium (HWE) is valid for the genetic loci being used. Several statistical tests to detect and measure deviation from HWE have been devised, each having advantages and limitations. The limitations become more obvious when testing for deviation within multiallelic DNA loci is attempted. Here we present ...

متن کامل

Estimation of parameter of proportion in Binomial Distribution Using Adjusted Prior Distribution

Historically, various methods were suggested for the estimation of Bernoulli and Binomial distributions parameter. One of the suggested methods is the Bayesian method, which is based on employing prior distribution. Their sound selection on parameter space play a crucial role in reducing posterior Bayesian estimator error. At times, large scale of the parametric changes on parameter space bring...

متن کامل

Minimax Estimator of a Lower Bounded Parameter of a Discrete Distribution under a Squared Log Error Loss Function

The problem of estimating the parameter ?, when it is restricted to an interval of the form , in a class of discrete distributions, including Binomial Negative Binomial discrete Weibull and etc., is considered. We give necessary and sufficient conditions for which the Bayes estimator of with respect to a two points boundary supported prior is minimax under squared log error loss function....

متن کامل

Acute Effects of Two Energy Drinks on Anaerobic Power and Blood Lactate & PH Recovery in Male Athletes

In order to compare the acute effects of OR and Megabasic (two energy drinks) by a placebo, 24 volunteer male athletes (age: 24.3±2.03 yrs, height 173.56±7.02cm and weight 75.43±3.07kg) participated in two consecutive RAST tests by 40 min rest interval in between within 3 randomly divided groups. There were six times blood sampling (before and also 2 and 4 min after than both tests) in ord...

متن کامل

ذخیره در منابع من


  با ذخیره ی این منبع در منابع من، دسترسی به آن را برای استفاده های بعدی آسان تر کنید

عنوان ژورنال:

دوره   شماره 

صفحات  -

تاریخ انتشار 2017